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Building a portfolio

Risk tolerance

How much decline you can live through without changing your plan.

How it works

Tolerance has two halves that get confused: capacity, which is financial and objective, and willingness, which is emotional. Someone with thirty years to retirement has high capacity and may still have low willingness.

The binding constraint is whichever is lower. A portfolio built for your capacity that exceeds your willingness gets abandoned in the first bad year, which is worse than never having held it.

Where it misleads people

Risk questionnaires measure willingness during calm markets, and willingness measured in calm markets is systematically overstated. The honest test is what you did in the last real decline.

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Educational reference only. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell anything, and tax treatment depends on your own circumstances and the country you are in.