OLNEST

Starting out

Time horizon

How long until you need the money — the single fact that should shape most of your other decisions.

How it works

Time horizon determines how much short-term volatility you can absorb. Money needed in eighteen months cannot sit in something that routinely falls 30%, however good the ten-year case for it is. Money not needed for thirty years can.

It is also the honest test of a plan. A strategy is only workable if you can stay in it for the whole horizon, including the years it looks wrong. A theoretically superior plan you abandon in year three is worse than a modest one you keep.

Where it misleads people

People describe themselves as long-term investors and then check prices daily. The horizon that matters is the one your behaviour reveals, not the one you claim.

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Educational reference only. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell anything, and tax treatment depends on your own circumstances and the country you are in.