30 terms
Risk
The ways a portfolio can hurt you, and the numbers that try to measure them.
- AlphaReturn above what the risk taken would ordinarily have earned — the part attributable to skill.
- Basis riskThe risk that a hedge and the thing it hedges stop moving together.
- BetaHow much an investment tends to move when the market moves, with 1.0 meaning it moves in line.
- Black swanA rare, high-impact event that was not predicted and is explained confidently afterwards.
- Capital asset pricing modelA model saying an asset’s expected return depends on the risk-free rate plus its market risk.
- Conditional value at riskThe average loss on the bad days that VaR excludes.
- Counterparty riskThe risk that the other side of a contract fails to do what it promised.
- Currency riskThe risk that exchange-rate moves change your return on a foreign holding.
- Downside deviationVolatility calculated using only the returns below a threshold, ignoring upside moves.
- DrawdownThe fall from a portfolio’s previous peak to its lowest point before it recovers.
- Fat tailsThe tendency of extreme market moves to happen far more often than standard statistics predict.
- HedgingTaking an offsetting position to reduce a specific risk you do not want.
- Inflation riskThe risk that rising prices erode what your money can buy, even when the number grows.
- KurtosisHow much of a distribution sits in its extreme tails rather than near the middle.
- Liquidity riskThe risk of not being able to sell when you want to, without accepting a bad price.
- Maximum drawdownThe largest peak-to-trough fall a portfolio or strategy suffered over the period examined.
- Monte Carlo simulationRunning thousands of randomised return paths to see the range of outcomes a plan could produce.
- Normal distributionThe symmetric bell-shaped curve that much of finance assumes returns follow.
- Recovery periodHow long it took a portfolio to climb back to its previous peak after a fall.
- Scenario analysisExamining portfolio outcomes across several plausible futures rather than forecasting one.
- SkewnessWhether a return distribution leans towards large gains or large losses.
- Standard deviationA statistical measure of how far values typically sit from their average.
- Stress testModelling what a portfolio would do under a specific severe scenario, rather than under average conditions.
- Systematic riskRisk that affects the whole market and cannot be removed by holding more things.
- Tail-risk hedgingDeliberately paying a small ongoing cost to limit losses in a severe market fall.
- Underwater periodAny stretch of time during which a portfolio is worth less than its previous high.
- Unsystematic riskRisk unique to one company or industry, which diversification can largely remove.
- Value at riskAn estimate of the most you would expect to lose over a period, at a stated confidence level.
- VolatilityHow much an investment’s returns bounce around their average — the standard measure of risk.
- Volatility dragThe way volatility reduces compounded returns below the simple average of the yearly returns.
Educational reference only. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell anything, and tax treatment depends on your own circumstances and the country you are in.